Market

Equal weight vs cap weight today

Does the typical stock keep up with the largest companies?

Close of Friday 6 November 2026 · updated every trading day

Where is it now?

How well does the typical stock keep up with the largest?

How well does the typical stock keep up with the largest? 3.7: Better than usual.High, higher than in 8 of 10 months since 2006Usual range1 yr · −8.0 pts5 yr · −2.8 pts1 mo · +3.5 pts3.7NarrowgainsBroadgains

Better than usual

High · higher than in 8 of 10 months since 2006

What is it?

This gap compares two baskets of the same 500 largest US companies. In one, each company counts the same. In the other, each company counts by its size. When the gap is below zero, the largest companies did better than the typical one.

How we measure it

We take the 500 largest US companies by market value at the start of each month. In one basket each company counts the same. In the other, each company counts by its size. The gap is the return of the first basket minus the return of the second, with dividends.

Over 5 years, per year: −3.4 pts

Why it is high now

AI-writtenWritten for the close of Wednesday 4 November 2026

The gap is 3.3 percentage points, a High level. The average company gained 14.8% over 1 year, against 11.6% for the cap-weighted index. Falls at large companies like Alphabet, Broadcom and Oracle held back the cap-weighted index. Big gains at small companies like Sandisk lifted the equal-weight average.

What changed?

1 month ago+3.5 pts+0.3 pts since then · better than usual
1 year ago−8.0 pts+11.7 pts since then · far worse than usual

AI-writtenWritten for the close of Wednesday 4 November 2026

The gap eased from 3.5 a month ago, and it rose by 11.3 points from -8 a year ago.

History

The 1-year gap since 2007

The 1-year gap since 2007The 1-year return of the equal-weighted 500 minus the value-weighted 500, monthly since 2007. Today +3.7 pts.−20−100102020102015202020252009 crisis low−1.6 pts2020 Covid fall−7.6 pts2021 peak−2.7 ptsToday +3.7 pts

What does it mean for a long-term investor?

AI-writtenWritten for the close of Wednesday 4 November 2026

A cap-weighted index gives big companies more weight. An equal-weight average counts each company the same. A positive gap means gains spread beyond the largest names. One indicator alone does not time the market.

What does it not tell you?

The gap does not tell you which basket does better next. A narrow market can stay narrow for years. The gap also does not show if the largest companies are priced high or low.

Sources and attribution
  • Market values, prices and financial statements: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP).
  • The 500 largest US companies by market value, our own list, rebuilt every month. It includes companies that later left the market.

MonkStreet market pages give information only. They are not personal advice. Past results do not show future results.